I did this a few months ago, and it's time to revisit my predictions before I go ahead and provide a few new ones. I have come to the realization that I really need to go out on a limb in order to really score the big points. How can I get noticed in the din of year end postings and prognostications?
My 2005 final score? Out of 15 predictions, I got about 50%. Not bad, but a dartboard could have been more useful. I'll try harder this time. To wit, the 2006 predictions:
1) The Yankees will win the Pennant, the Red Sox will not make the playoffs, and the Dodgers will continue to suck despite becoming the West Coast version of the Red Sox.
2) Osama bin Laden will still be missing in action, but his neice will be found in action at Scores. A fatwa will be issued.
3) The misunderestimation of President Bush will continue unabated in 2006. The NSA eavesdropping case will result in criminal prosecutions of several disgruntled NSA operatives who thought that they could get in the good graces of the DNC. Apparently, Joe Wilson was their advisor before going public.
4) Iran will claim that they have the bomb, though their public acknowledgment will be puncuated by the detonation of epic proportions at the nuclear facilities where said bombs are being made. It will turn out that the Russians had been working with the US all along, and simply built in a failsafe so that the moment the facility went critical, so would the built in bomb. To be sure, another bomb goes off at the headquarters of Iranian President Ahmadinejad. It will later be determined that a special forces unit was in position at several locations to support the overall mission. Israel breathes a sigh of relief.
5) Terrorists will continue to try and attack the US, and one gets as close as being in position for an attack, but a sharp-eyed cop thwarts the attack. It is later determined that the terrorist would have been picked up by an NSA program had it been allowed to continue after the program became public in 2005 by leakers.
6) Rudy will declare his candidacy.
7) Roe v. Wade will not be an issue in 2006. Or 2007. Or 2008.
8) Alito will be confirmed, but Joe Biden's intelligence (or lack thereof) will similarly be confirmed. It wont be pretty.
9) Lawhawk and Mrs. Lawhawk will continue looking for a house in North Jersey - and interest rates plus an increase in home prices will still make it next to impossible to find a house. However, we will find one this year - only to find that the market crashes the day after closing. [If this one looks familiar, you're right - I made this prediction last year and nearly came true so why should I mess with a good thing.]
10) The New York Times share price will finally bottom out at $12 per share and Pajamas Media will IPO at the end of the year with a higher per-share price.
11) Google! will look at both NYT and Pajamas Media as growth opportunities and purchase both. Microsoft will go to the Justice Department demanding an investigation into anti-trust violations by Google in its cornering of the media market, especially when Google invents a way to not only distribute preferred Blogspot blogs, but makes money from the endeavor.
12) Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton realize that their stars have been eclipsed by Barack Obama and therefore must be destroyed. They will resort to chicanery and outright slander in order to undermine Obama's potential running for national office. And fail mightily when they are found out. Cheney and Rove will snicker into the night.
13) Speaking of Cheney and Rove, neither will be indicted as part of Fitsmas. Wilson, however, will be. As will Joe Wilson's five year old son.
14) Howard Dean will be sacked by the DNC six months too late [in December] when the fundraising campaign runs into such hardship that they will be forced to go to Charles Schumer to run the fundraising campaign. This too will be problematic as Schumer's aides use Michael Steele's SSN on their employment forms.
15) The NSA leak probe will result in more criminal prosecutions than any other prosecution in the Bush Administration. It will turn out that career bureaucrats that are registered Democrat in both the NSA and CIA are involved. One turns out to have contacts with Joe Wilson [see above].
* Bonus prediction #16: A natural disaster will once again show that the UN is completely incapable of acting decisively, except to blame the US for a slow response. Of course, this natural disaster is in the US - where Mt. Rainier rumbles back to life for the first time in recent history. Thankfully, I'll have pictures to remember what it looked like before the Eruption of 2006 takes out 5,000 feet of the summit. And I get partial credit if any of the nearby volcanoes rumble back to life and blow their stacks.
There you have it.
UPDATE:
Upon further consideration, I have another prediction - Able Danger will make a major splash in the news, especially as the NSA spycraft story takes hold.
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