The McCain VP Leak

You could see this coming from a mile away. Sen. Barack Obama's VP choice of Sen. Joe Biden was known hours ahead of the text message that was supposed to be the clarion call to his supporters that they would get the news ahead of everyone else. That was because the media got tipped off to the presence of the Secret Service at Biden's home, which would happen only if Biden was chosen.

Now, Sen. John McCain is looking like he's going to do something similar - except that he's purposefully going to start leaking the name of his vice presidential choice while the Democrats are gathering to hear Sen. Obama's acceptance speech. He's hoping to undercut the Obama evening with news of his own.

McCain had gotten inside the Obama campaign decision making cycle, and has been putting on the hits with a series of ads attacking Obama's lack of experience, gravitas, and judgment. Don't expect that to change between now and November.

Still, the question remains who McCain has chosen. Watch for the media outlets to camp outside the last known locations where possible nominees are located. If the US Secret Service shows up, you know who's getting the nod.

Frankly, I don't have a clue who it's going to be. I have a few ideas of who I don't think should get the job, including Mike Huckabee or Carly Fiorina. Watch for someone who will help McCain with demographics or geographic regions. Names to watch: Sarah Palin; Mitt Romney; JC Watts; Rudy Giuliani; and Eric Cantor.

And it looks like Obama's finally gotten a bounce from the convention - anywhere from 3 to 6 points, depending on which outlet you rely upon.

UPDATE:
Is it Romney? Well, there's a report that a security sweep of Romney's family that has taken place. It could be a precursor for the Secret Service detachment to come. Romney would be a help with McCain's chances in Michigan, but Obama's team would likely have a few ads of their own showing Mitt attacking McCain on any number of issues in the primaries. That's a problem McCain would have choosing any of the other failed nominees. However, he's probably figuring the benefits outweigh any of those negatives.

UPDATE:
Rumors. They're just rumors that Romney's family got the Secret Service sweep. New rumor? Pawlenty.