Saturday, March 08, 2008

Lacking Momentum

Well, so much for the momentum of Hillary Clinton's wins in Rhode Island, Texas, and Ohio. Barack Obama just won the Wyoming caucus, which further shows just how incapable the two candidates are of separating themselves from their opponent.

This situation is going to continue all the way until the convention.

And I guarantee that things will get ugly. All the factors are in place for a very ugly convention in Denver. No matter how much the Democrat operatives want to say that they've got a united party and that they've got two candidates who can't be beat, the fact is that neither has sufficient numbers of delegates to prevail, and it will come down to back room deals to select the nominee.

If it isn't Obama, who currently leads in the delegate count, what will happen to African American supporters within the party? Are they going to tolerate the rug pulled out from under Obama by Hillary Clinton, who's been busy closing the gap of late using everything and the kitchen sink to claim the mantle of the nomination for herself.

Obama has had a very tough stretch here, because of the Tony Rezko trial, problems with Samantha Power keeping a lid on the open secret that Hillary Clinton is a monster, and the perception that he can't win the big states.

Hillary hasn't exactly lit things up herself, having the good fortune to take advantage of external facts, but she did put together a good advertisement attacking Obama over his lack of experience and credentials to deal with a crisis.



The problem is that this kind of commercial could easily describe Hillary as well. She's just as untested as Obama is.

So, this will continue to lurch forward until the Denver convention.

And the craziness surrounding the possibility of holding new elections in Florida and Michigan will do nothing to solve this mess for the Democrats since even counting the delegates will not provide the margin for victory for either candidate.

UPDATE:
And while Hillary tries to poach Obama votes by saying she wouldn't have a problem with a combined ticket of Hillary and Obama (with Bill's approval to boot), Obama has come out and poured very cold water on the idea of being Hillary's vice presidential candidate. He's leading, and there's no reason for him to provide otherwise.

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