It also means that the Obama campaign may have to spend more time and effort to shore up what should be a safe haven in the New York metro area. Maybe it's a Hillary effect, as the Obama campaign spurned Clinton as a running mate and voters are taking it out on the Obama campaign. That remains to be seen.
However, I'd take it with a grain of salt given that New Jersey's Record released a poll showing that Obama still held a sizable lead in New Jersey, even after Sen. McCain chose Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. Likely voters in New Jersey weren't particularly enthusiastic about Palin, though she rated about the same as Biden. New Jersey leans Democratic, given that Democrats significantly outnumber registered Republicans in the state. Independents make up a sizable portion of the electorate.
Obama, the first-term U.S. senator from Illinois, leads McCain, a veteran senator from Arizona, by 50 percent to 41 percent, with 7 percent saying they are undecided.
The likely voters surveyed said they think overall that Obama is better prepared to be president, but by a slimmer, four-point advantage. By double-digit margins, they believe Obama is better suited to deal with the nation's economy, environment and health care.
But when it comes to handling the war in Iraq or the nation's security, they picked McCain as more qualified, by an edge of 2 percent and 6 percent, respectively.
"New Jersey's blue [Democratic] - I don't think there's any question about it in the presidential race," said Del Ali of Research 2000, whose firm surveyed 600 likely New Jersey voters by telephone last Tuesday through Thursday. The poll has a margin for error of 4 percentage points.
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