Saturday, February 03, 2007

Real Reason Behind Global Warming Report

If you want to consider the real reason for the hype behind global warming, look no further than this:
President Jacques Chirac has demanded that the United States sign both the Kyoto climate protocol and a future agreement that will take effect when the Kyoto accord runs out in 2012.

He said that he welcomed last week’s State of the Union address in which President Bush described climate change as a “serious challenge” and acknowledged that a growing number of American politicians now favor emissions cuts.

But he warned that if the United States did not sign the agreements, a carbon tax across Europe on imports from nations that have not signed the Kyoto treaty could be imposed to try to force compliance. The European Union is the largest export market for American goods.

“A carbon tax is inevitable,” Mr. Chirac said. “If it is European, and I believe it will be European, then it will all the same have a certain influence because it means that all the countries that do not accept the minimum obligations will be obliged to pay.”

Trade lawyers have been divided over the legality of a carbon tax, with some saying it would run counter to international trade rules. But Mr. Chirac said other European countries would back it. “I believe we will have all of the European Union,” he said.

Mr. Chirac spoke as scientists from around the world gathered in Paris to discuss an authoritative international report on climate change, portions of which will be released on Friday.
It's about wealth transfer. Incomplete science, which is no better than junk science, is being used to support wealth transfer. The media doesn't bother to point out the obvious - that the climate is constantly changing and that the scientists themselves don't know the extent of the problems because they're still trying to identify all of the inputs to the system that causes the climate to change in the first place.

The wealth transfer would seek to reduce US output by taxing exports to the EU. Lovely stuff. All that money going to help the Europeans maintain what they consider to be a comfy standard of living. That wealth transfer will do nothing to actually adjust the climate because the scientists admit that there's nothing anyone can do about the climate change - the climate does what it has always done for millenia - it changes.

The report's summary also notes the obvious:
A United Nations report issued today by the world’s top climate scientists said global warning was “very likely” man-made and would bring higher temperatures and a steady rise in sea levels for centuries to come regardless of how much the world slows or reduces its greenhouse gas emissions.
Curious then, that the politicians focus on the so called greenhouse gases, because there is nothing about those gases that they can control to the point of adjusting the global climate going forward.

The summary further admits that they only have limited data samples for some parts of the world, but that gets glossed over in media reports and summations of the summary itself. How anyone can definitely state something when you don't have all the evidence in shows the unseriousness of the scientists involved.
Since the TAR, progress in understanding how climate is changing in space and in time has been gained through improvements and extensions of numerous datasets and data analyses, broader geographical coverage, better understanding of uncertainties, and a wider variety of measurements. Increasingly comprehensive observations are available for glaciers and snow cover since the 1960s, and for sea level and ice sheets since about the past decade. However, data coverage remains limited in some regions.
Meanwhile, the 'scientists' who assembled this report are taking the summary and making sure that the 1,600 page report conforms to the summary. That is the opposite of a proper scientific review where one identifies a theory, comes up with a hypothesis, tests it, produces the results, and reports.

If you play with the data and selectively pick and choose starting points for observations or reporting data, you can skew the results any way you want. That's what you see on page 15 of the summary. Arbitrary data points to heighten the so called hockey stick result. In many cases, the data goes back only to the mid 19th century. Other data points start in the 20th century. How one can extrapolate from such a limited data set given that the planet has gone though hundreds, if not thousands of heating and cooling cycles in its history is irresponsible science.

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